Ok, so the past 2 days I’ve taken a look at Fred Warner’s new extension, and the teams 2022 salary cap situation with Warner’s extension factored in, but today we’re going to go back to 2023, which I have went over 2 times in the past few months.
Last time I did a 2023 cap article, I had Warner at a projected $10.5 million cap number, but his 2023 cap number is $18.525 million, while the 49ers have 23 players signed for 2023, accounting for $128,137,772, plus $6,909,999 in dead money, and if the cap is indeed $225 million, the 49ers would have, before the top 51 rule, $89,952,229 in cap room, but after factoring in the top 51 rule, they’ll have $68,952,229 in cap room.
Below are the 23 players signed for 2023.
QB Trey Lance – $9,281,559
RB Trey Sermon – $1,328,982
RB Elijah Mitchell – $985,893
FB Kyle Juszyzck – $6,588,750
WR Brandon Aiyuk – $3,987,248
WR Austin Watkins Jr. – $948,334
TE George Kittle – $16,300,000
TE Charlie Woerner – $1,055,258
TE Josh Pederson – $942,668
C Alex Mack – $5,075,000
LG Colton McKivitz – $1,092,445
LG Jaylon Moore – $1,020,759
RG Aaron Banks – $1,911,166
LT Trent Williams – $26,270,000
LT Alfredo Gutierrez – $940,000
DE Arik Armstead – $21,740,000
DT Javon Kinlaw – $4,928,223
SLB Justin Hilliard – $950,000
MLB Fred Warner – $18,525,000
MLB Elijah Sullivan – $950,000
CB Ambry Thomas – $1,305,232
CB Deommodore Lenoir – $1,011,217
SS Talanoa Hufanga – $1,000,038
The 49ers will also exercise the option for defensive end Nick Bosa, who as of now, will get the transition tag value, which if the 2022 cap is indeed $208.2 million, it’d be $16.788 million, but if Bosa makes the 2021-2022 pro bowl, Bosa will get the franchise tag value, which would be $20.274 million, so the 49ers would have between $49,428,229-$52,924,229 in cap room.
After 2021, the 49ers will have plenty of free agents, but not as many players that are must re-signs, not as dire as 2021 with Trent Williams, & Kyle Juszyzck, and now no Fred Warner.
So, the following players will be free agents post 2021, I’ll include only players who realistically have a chance at making the 2021 roster.
QB Josh Rosen (UFA)
QB Nate Sudfeld (UFA)
RB Raheem Mostert (UFA)
RB Jeff Wilson Jr. (UFA)
RB Wayne Gallman Jr. (UFA)
RB JaMycal Hasty (ERFA)
WR Trent Sherfield (UFA)
WR Mohamed Sanu Sr. (UFA)
WR Travis Benjamin (UFA)
WR Jauan Jennings (ERFA)
WR Nsimba Webster (RFA)
WR Richie James Jr. (UFA)
TE Ross Dwelley (UFA)
TE MyCole Pruitt (UFA)
C Daniel Brunskill (RFA)
LG Senio Kelemete (UFA)
RG Tom Compton (UFA)
LG Laken Tomlinson (UFA)
LT Shon Coleman (UFA)
DE Arden Key (UFA)
DT Maurice Hurst Jr. (UFA)
DT Kevin Givens (ERFA)
NT D.J. Jones (UFA)
NT Zach Kerr (UFA)
NT Darrion Daniels (ERFA)
SLB Azeez Al-Shaair (RFA)
WLB James Burgess Jr. (UFA)
WLB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles (ERFA)
CB Jason Verrett (UFA)
CB K’Waun Williams (UFA)
CB Dontae Johnson (UFA)
FS Tarvarius Moore (UFA)
FS Tony Jefferson (UFA)
FS Jared Mayden (ERFA)
SS Jaquiski Tartt (UFA)
SS Tavon Wilson (UFA)
SS Marcell Harris (UFA)
Next up are the free agents after 2022, not including Jimmy Garoppolo, as it’s pretty obvious that they’ll let go of Jimmy, with Trey Lance as the future, and Nick Bosa, as his 5th-year option will be picked as up as we talked about earlier.
WR Deebo Samuel (UFA)
WR Jalen Hurd (UFA)
LT Justin Skule (UFA)
RT Mike McGlinchey (UFA)
DE Dee Ford (UFA)
DE Samson Ebukam (UFA)
WLB Dre Greenlaw (UFA)
CB Emmanuel Moseley (UFA)
FS Jimmie Ward (UFA)
PK Robbie Gould (UFA)
P Mitch Wishnowsky (UFA)
LS Taybor Pepper (UFA)
If we take a look at the 2021 & 2022 free agent lists, the key players the 49ers would likely like to keep around for 2023 & beyond, depending on the play of course, seem to be the following, running backs Raheem Mostert, & Jeff Wilson Jr., wide receivers Deebo Samuel, & Jalen Hurd, tight end Ross Dwelley, center Daniel Brunskill, left guard Laken Tomlinson, right tackle Mike McGlinchey, defensive ends Samson Ebukam, & Arden Key, defensive tackles Maurice Hurst Jr., & Kevin Givens, nose tackle D.J. Jones, weakside linebacker Dre Greenlaw, cornerbacks Jason Verrett, & K’Waun Williams, free safeties Jimmie Ward, & Tarvarius Moore, strong safety Jaquiski Tartt, punter Mitch Wishnowsky, & long snapper Taybor Pepper.
I see the team likely to bring back the following players, on the following deals, average wise, again depending on their play, with their 2023 cap number is parenthesis.
WR Deebo Samuel – $8.5 million to $10 million ($5 million)
WR Jalen Hurd – $2.5 million ($2.5 million)
TE Ross Dwelley – $2.5 million ($2.5 million)
C Daniel Brunskill – $2 million ($2 million)
RT Mike McGlinchey – $15 million ($8.5 million)
DE Samson Ebukam – $6.5 million ($3.5 million)
DE Arden Key – $2.5 million ($2.5 million)
DT Maurice Hurst Jr. – $2.5 million ($2.5 million)
DT Kevin Givens – $2.5 million ($2 million)
NT D.J. Jones – $5 million ($6.5 million)
WLB Dre Greenlaw – $10 million ($4.5 million)
CB Jason Verrett – $8 million ($5 million)
CB Emmanuel Moseley – $5.5 million ($3.5 million)
P Mitch Wishnowsky – $2.5 million ($1.205 million)
LS Taybor Pepper – $1.25 million ($1.18 million)
If we add up all of these projected cap numbers for 2023 for these players, it comes up to $52.885 million, but after factoring in the top 51 rule, it’s $41.635 million, leaving the team with between $7,793,229-$11,289,229 in 2023 cap room, but of course this doesn’t factor in 2022 & 2023 draft picks.
Now if the cap does explode in 2023, to say $256 million, that’s an extra $31 million in cap room, giving the 49ers between $38,793,229-$42,289,229 in cap room.
I think the likes of Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson Jr., Laken Tomlinson, K’Waun Williams, Jimmie Ward, Tarvarius Moore, & Jaquiski Tartt could be toss-ups, depending on how the team feels about recent draft picks, plus how the market ends up being for these players, and who the team drafts in 2022 & 2023.
Either way, the 49ers future is bright, and as I said yesterday about Nick Bosa, who would have between a $16.788 million to $20.274 million 5th-year option number, but honestly his 2023 cap number should be at least half of that, especially if the team turns his 2022 training camp roster bonus into part of his prorated bonus, that would give the team more cap room, and have Bosa extended.
So even if the cap does come in at around $225 million to $230 million, the 49ers would still have in the neighborhood of $17 million to $20 million, post Nick Bosa extension.
So with all of this said, I thank everyone for reading article, as always you can follow me on Twitter @49erscap, or leave a comment below, and I’ll get back to you.
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