Today I want to go over what we can expect when it comes to Brandon Aiyuk, & Javon Kinlaw’s 5th-year options, salary wise.
OverTheCap.com, which does a great job of not just tracking all 32 teams, they also do such things as project the rookie pool, and 5th-year options, and they’ve updated that page to reflect the 2020 draft class, so let’s begin.
Before we go into the numbers, let’s look at the different tiers for players.
Basic: For this tier, the player would not meet any of the other tier requirements, which would then give the player an average of the 3rd to 25th highest salaries at their position over the past 5 seasons.
Playtime: This is where a player must player in either 75% or great in 2 of their first 3 seasons, or have an average of 75% or greater over his first 3 seasons, or have played 50% or greater over all 3 seasons, and this is calculated as the 3rd to 20th highest salaries for their position.
One Pro Bowl: This is obvious, for a player who makes one Pro Bowl, they get the equivalent of the transition tag amount, position wise, but this would be calculated as the transition tag for the 2023 season.
Multiple Pro Bowls: Again, obvious as a player who gets elected to more than 1 Pro Bowl will get the franchise tag amount, again based on the 2023 seasons tag numbers.
One last thing, for the Pro Bowl berth, it has to be on on the original ballot, not as an alternate taking someone else’s spot.
Ok, now let’s go over the numbers for Aiyuk, & Kinlaw.
Per OverTheCap, Brandon Aiyuk would get the following.
Basic: $12.278 million
Playtime: $13.594 million
1 Pro Bowl: $17.465 million
He isn’t eligible for the multiple Pro Bowl tier, as he’s yet to make a Pro Bowl, and he needs to make multiple Pro Bowls over the first 3 seasons, which will also disqualify Kinlaw.
Now, Javon Kinlaw would get the following, per OverTheCap.
Basic: $9.673 million
Playtime: $11.151 million
1 Pro Bowl: $14.752 million
Now, how likely is it for Kinlaw to get to the Pro Bowl this year? Well probably unlikely, he’d have to have a bigger year than people are hoping for.
As for Aiyuk, I’d say it’s possible, but more likely he’ll get robbed if he has a great season.
Now, let’s look at the playtime factor for each player.
Aiyuk played 66.5% of the 49ers’ offensive snaps in 2020, & 83.0% in 2021, so if he plays 75% or more, he should get the playtime option number, which is again $13.594 million.
As for Kinlaw, he has played 52.7% of the 49ers’ defensive snaps in 2020, & just 13.7% in 2021, so it’s unlikely he’d get the playtime, unless he somehow plays more than 83.6% of the snaps, which could happen, but probably won’t with how much the team likes to rotate their defensive lineman, but if he does, I think the 49ers fans will be very happy, as it would mean Kinlaw is producing, and is staying healthy.
So, when it comes time, I expect the 49ers to exercise both Aiyuk, & Kinlaw’s options next offseason, which would fully guarantee them for 2024.
As always, thank you for reading, you can follow me on twitter @49erscap for more salary cap information & tidbits.
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